Benefits from the Euro:
Why are
eleven European countries replacing their domestic currencies with a new
pan-European one? What are the benefits of doing that? What are the costs?
By the
act of replacing their domestic currencies with the Euro the participating
European Monetary Union (EMU) countries are fixing the exchange rates of
their currencies with respect to each other. Those of you familiar with
developing countries can find a similar process in the dollarization (pegging,
anchoring, or straight out replacement) of some economies (e.g.: Brazil,
Argentina, Ecuador...)
The
benefits are significant:
- Elimination of uncertainty about the future value of
participating currencies. Since intra-European exports and imports account
for more than 60% of total European trade the elimination of the exchange
rate risk in those transactions will benefit both producers and consumers.
- Intra-European investment flows will not be subject to
exchange rate instability either.
- Transaction costs for both trade and investment
operations will be reduced since there will be no more bank fees for
exchanging currency, no need for hedging in foreign exchange futures and
options markets...
- Price discipline in all participating countries will
improve since monetary policy will now be centralized and coordinated for
the whole union. Inflation levels will be lower -on average.
- More stable global foreign exchange markets, that now
will be able to choose between two vehicle currencies (the US Dollar and the
Euro) to conduct their international transactions. It is estimated that 50%
of the operations now denominated in US Dollars will be denominated in Euros
after 2002.
- The Euro solidifies the process of European integration
by requiring common monetary policies and closer cooperation on fiscal
issues across borders and political divides.
Most of
these gains (e.g.: the convenience of not having to constantly exchange currency
while you travel across Europe) are very difficult to quantify in terms of GDP
growth. My dissertation deals with these issues, exploring the connection
between processes of economic integration and growth (both from the theoretical
and empirical points of view.)
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